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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+4.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.72+2.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.77+2.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.23vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+0.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-2.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-3.33vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.37-0.38vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.66+0.78vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.27College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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3.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.51Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.78Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.38Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 25.7% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Power | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 2.5% |
| William McIvor | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 24.0% | 38.2% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 90.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.