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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.46vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.90+3.24vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.72+0.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36-0.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.77-1.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73-2.28vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-0.48vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.66+0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.37-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.24Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.23College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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4.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.65Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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10.52Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.79Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 18.7% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 25.3% | 21.2% | 2.7% |
| William McIvor | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 22.9% | 39.5% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 90.2% |
| Patrick Power | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 24.4% | 26.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.