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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.72+2.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+1.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.77-0.56vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90-1.82vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-3.88vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.39vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.66+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame1.37-2.24vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College0.85-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.22College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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6.18Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.12Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.61Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.78Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.65Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 18.3% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 26.6% | 20.4% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 89.7% |
| Patrick Power | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 24.5% | 2.2% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 21.3% | 43.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.