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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.85vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.04vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.72-0.80vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+0.54vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90-0.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.77-2.38vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.43vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.66+1.78vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.85-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.37-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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3.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.2College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.11Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.78Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.62Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 17.6% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 89.2% |
| William McIvor | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 42.9% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Power | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 26.6% | 23.1% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.