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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.60+0.81vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.23+0.35vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University1.25-0.64vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.22+0.28vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92-2.01vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26-5.64vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.21-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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2.64Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.81University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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4.49Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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6.35Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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6.36Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.28Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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6.99Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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4.36Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.22University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Williamson | 18.4% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 30.7% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jon Beery | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Anna Hopper | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 5.8% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 23.9% | 35.9% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 11.3% |
| David Pierce | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.