← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont-0.02+4.67vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.37+4.94vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.89+6.05vs Predicted
-
4Boston University-0.79+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.60-0.87vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.82+2.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+4.18vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.17vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-1.10+0.82vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+1.55vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.95vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College-1.42-1.47vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-4.84vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.78vs Predicted
-
15Williams College-0.90-4.94vs Predicted
-
16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-3.48vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University-0.80-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.67University of Vermont-0.0213.1%1st Place
-
6.94McGill University-0.378.2%1st Place
-
9.05McGill University-0.894.2%1st Place
-
8.91Boston University-0.794.1%1st Place
-
4.13Connecticut College0.6021.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of New Hampshire-0.824.8%1st Place
-
11.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.202.8%1st Place
-
7.83University of New Hampshire-0.007.0%1st Place
-
9.82Bentley University-1.103.4%1st Place
-
11.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.9%1st Place
-
10.53Middlebury College-1.423.4%1st Place
-
8.16Maine Maritime Academy-0.655.7%1st Place
-
11.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.4%1st Place
-
10.06Williams College-0.904.4%1st Place
-
12.52Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.821.9%1st Place
-
8.55Northeastern University-0.804.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Denker | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colston Howell | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Macken | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 21.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Cole Perra | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
| James Sullivan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 16.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| William Procter | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 23.6% |
| Adrien Blanc | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.