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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.77vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.87vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.72+0.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36-0.01vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.77-0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-3.30vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73-2.29vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame1.37-1.42vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.85-1.37vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.66-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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4.23College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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4.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.16Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.63Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.79Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 17.9% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 23.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Power | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 26.1% | 20.0% | 1.9% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 44.8% | 5.3% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.