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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+2.10vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.72+0.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.77+0.44vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90-0.86vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-4.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.73-3.37vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.66+0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.37-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.1Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.24College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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6.14Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.56Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.77Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.63Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.51Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.79Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.1% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 19.8% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 18.8% | 25.3% | 21.5% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 40.1% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 91.1% |
| Patrick Power | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 26.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.