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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bradley Milliken 6.4% 5.1% 7.4% 9.9% 7.7% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 13.0% 9.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Claire Dennis 11.6% 12.8% 12.2% 13.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.7% 7.7% 6.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 9.9% 12.1% 11.8% 10.5% 10.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.6% 6.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Cameron Hall 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 12.1% 13.1% 9.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Sommer 19.8% 18.2% 14.8% 13.1% 10.5% 10.5% 5.3% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan White 6.5% 6.3% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 9.4% 11.9% 11.7% 12.8% 10.0% 5.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Emilie Mademann 8.4% 7.2% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.7% 11.8% 11.9% 8.1% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1%
John Reddaway 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 6.6% 8.4% 18.8% 25.3% 21.5% 1.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.2% 13.1% 12.9% 10.6% 13.2% 9.3% 10.1% 8.2% 6.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 6.8% 5.6% 5.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 11.5% 10.6% 12.5% 11.7% 6.1% 2.5% 0.0%
William McIvor 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 1.8% 4.6% 6.2% 12.3% 22.3% 40.1% 4.8%
Kyle Kavanagh 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 4.7% 91.1%
Patrick Power 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.3% 5.6% 9.8% 16.7% 23.9% 26.2% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.