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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.72+2.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+0.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-0.33vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-1.00vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.49vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.77-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.37-0.34vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.66+1.78vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.85-1.39vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.73-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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3.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.49Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.15Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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12.78Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.61Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.78Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 1.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryan White | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Power | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 7.0% | 89.0% |
| William McIvor | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 42.6% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.