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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Owen Hennessey 11.3% 11.1% 10.2% 10.8% 9.1% 7.6% 8.5% 5.5% 5.7% 4.6% 4.5% 3.5% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Owen Bannasch 7.7% 7.8% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 6.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.5% 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 3.3% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Spencer Barnes 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.1% 6.2% 6.2% 5.5% 5.1% 3.7%
Adam Larson 6.1% 6.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.3% 6.5% 4.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.2% 6.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.6% 5.1% 4.9% 4.0% 2.6%
Patrick Dolan 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 5.4% 5.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.3% 5.3% 4.5%
Joe Serpa 3.2% 3.8% 3.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 4.9% 6.0% 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 10.7%
Noyl Odom 3.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 3.2% 5.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1%
Charlie Herrick 3.2% 3.1% 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.9% 5.6% 7.2% 9.6% 10.3% 13.8%
Will Priebe 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.4% 6.3% 5.4% 5.5% 7.6% 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 6.6% 4.3%
Lars Osell 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.9% 6.8% 8.1% 9.0% 10.0%
Jonathan Seawards 6.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.1% 5.5% 4.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.8%
Will Murray 8.0% 7.4% 5.9% 7.3% 7.1% 5.7% 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 5.9% 4.5% 5.0% 3.8% 3.4% 1.8% 1.7%
Atlee Kohl 8.6% 9.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.8% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.1% 5.3% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Tyler Wood 6.8% 6.1% 5.9% 7.0% 5.7% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.8% 4.2% 4.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Ryan Potter 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 9.8% 12.8% 18.9%
Rayne Duff 9.2% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.0% 7.3% 6.3% 6.1% 5.7% 5.2% 4.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Andreas Keswater 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 2.7% 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 3.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.3% 11.3% 11.9%
Noah Robitshek 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 5.8% 5.8% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.