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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.72+0.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-0.36vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-1.01vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90-0.88vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.77-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.37-0.34vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.66+0.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.73-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.99Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.51Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.79Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.81Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 1.7% |
| Bryan White | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Power | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 23.2% | 2.6% |
| William McIvor | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 22.8% | 39.7% | 5.1% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 90.4% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.