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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+9.67vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+9.67vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.14vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.96vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.38vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.88vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.11vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.12+1.23vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.78-2.22vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.62-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.90-1.14vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.10-6.28vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.53vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-4.35vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67Old Dominion University1.813.9%1st Place
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11.67University of Wisconsin1.142.6%1st Place
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7.14University of Miami2.329.4%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
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7.31Webb Institute1.738.1%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.3%1st Place
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7.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.168.2%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.714.5%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University1.825.9%1st Place
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11.23University of Michigan1.123.1%1st Place
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8.78North Carolina State University1.785.1%1st Place
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10.24Fordham University1.625.1%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida0.902.9%1st Place
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7.72Jacksonville University2.107.5%1st Place
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9.62SUNY Maritime College1.884.7%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont0.722.8%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.395.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Will Murray | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Adam Larson | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 20.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.