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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.48vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.08vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.72-0.83vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.77-0.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-3.38vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.75vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.37-0.31vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-0.47vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.66+0.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.73-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.17College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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9.6Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.46University of South Florida2.770.1%1st Place
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4.62Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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10.53Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.79Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 27.8% | 20.7% | 2.1% |
| Bryan White | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Power | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 23.7% | 2.8% |
| William McIvor | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 41.9% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 6.3% | 90.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.