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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+6.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.06vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+6.81vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.62+5.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+4.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.18vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.05vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.90+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.12-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.14-1.29vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.72-2.25vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.10-8.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.79vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.82-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Webb Institute1.739.4%1st Place
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8.72North Carolina State University1.786.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University1.814.0%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.714.3%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.9%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5712.3%1st Place
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10.05Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College1.884.2%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida0.903.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Michigan1.122.7%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin1.142.9%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Vermont0.722.4%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University2.108.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.2%1st Place
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8.54George Washington University1.825.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Will Murray | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 20.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Lars Osell | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.