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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+1.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48-0.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-2.34vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.05vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.01+2.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.43-3.06vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.99-0.92vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-3.88vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.50-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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4.46University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.74Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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2.66Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.94Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.08Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 16.4% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 32.7% | 24.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 3.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 19.3% | 51.6% |
| Walker Banks | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bristol | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 13.8% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 30.8% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.