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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Sands 14.4% 15.1% 14.3% 13.9% 13.9% 11.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 4.4% 5.2% 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 9.7% 12.9% 15.6% 13.0% 7.4% 3.5% 0.6%
Benjamin Mohney 12.0% 14.0% 13.2% 13.0% 12.7% 13.9% 9.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Briana Provancha 16.4% 17.7% 18.0% 13.6% 11.9% 10.6% 6.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 32.7% 24.9% 15.3% 11.5% 7.4% 4.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 5.1% 4.6% 7.8% 8.5% 11.4% 16.7% 19.3% 14.3% 3.8%
Robert Lippincott 7.3% 7.6% 9.7% 10.4% 9.6% 13.1% 13.9% 11.4% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Kevin Condit 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 2.6% 1.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 10.9% 19.3% 51.6%
Walker Banks 5.1% 5.8% 8.2% 12.1% 11.7% 13.0% 12.2% 14.4% 10.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Rachel Bristol 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 2.8% 3.7% 2.7% 6.4% 8.5% 14.0% 19.7% 22.4% 13.8%
Alex Reynolds 3.7% 3.3% 5.0% 6.5% 8.6% 8.9% 13.5% 15.0% 14.4% 13.5% 5.6% 2.0%
DAVID Greene 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 9.4% 15.6% 30.8% 27.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.