← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.81+9.83vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+6.26vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.62+7.07vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.78+4.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.14+6.71vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.10+1.73vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.04vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.12+3.30vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.02vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.73-2.63vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.82-2.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.32-5.04vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College1.88-3.52vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.39-3.90vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.71-5.10vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.72-3.37vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida0.90-5.13vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.83Old Dominion University1.813.8%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.7%1st Place
-
10.07Fordham University1.624.3%1st Place
-
8.8North Carolina State University1.786.4%1st Place
-
11.71University of Wisconsin1.143.1%1st Place
-
7.73Jacksonville University2.108.1%1st Place
-
8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.3%1st Place
-
11.3University of Michigan1.123.3%1st Place
-
5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.8%1st Place
-
7.37Webb Institute1.738.2%1st Place
-
8.61George Washington University1.825.7%1st Place
-
6.96University of Miami2.329.2%1st Place
-
9.48SUNY Maritime College1.884.6%1st Place
-
10.1Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
-
9.9Northeastern University1.714.6%1st Place
-
12.63University of Vermont0.722.2%1st Place
-
11.87University of South Florida0.903.3%1st Place
-
11.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Adam Larson | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Will Murray | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Will Priebe | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 20.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.