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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+1.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.41vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+1.09vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48-2.23vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-1.31vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.01+0.66vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.99-1.72vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.50-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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2.7Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.09Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.77Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.96Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.28Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 30.6% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Walker Banks | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 16.4% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 21.8% | 49.9% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 22.7% | 15.0% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 31.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.