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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+1.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15+0.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+0.82vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.33-1.91vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43-1.04vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-1.16vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.01+0.69vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.99-1.73vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.50-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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3.79Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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2.67Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.09College of Charleston3.330.2%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.98Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.27Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 14.6% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 31.5% | 24.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| William Sands | 15.4% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alex Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.3% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 50.9% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 31.1% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.