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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Sands 13.7% 15.2% 14.5% 15.8% 14.3% 10.8% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 30.0% 25.3% 18.0% 10.7% 8.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.1% 6.5% 9.5% 9.7% 10.7% 11.3% 14.4% 12.8% 11.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 4.2% 5.0% 7.0% 10.8% 10.8% 12.5% 12.4% 12.5% 12.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Walker Banks 5.5% 6.5% 8.0% 9.4% 11.7% 12.3% 13.0% 13.3% 9.8% 6.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Benjamin Mohney 11.1% 15.2% 12.6% 14.1% 12.7% 12.1% 11.3% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.2% 8.6% 8.9% 11.9% 15.9% 18.5% 12.7% 4.7%
Briana Provancha 18.8% 15.8% 17.1% 13.6% 13.1% 9.7% 5.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Bristol 1.4% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 7.8% 8.5% 15.3% 21.1% 23.4% 11.0%
DAVID Greene 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 3.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 6.5% 9.5% 14.4% 28.3% 28.1%
Kevin Condit 0.6% 0.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 3.4% 5.6% 8.9% 21.3% 53.9%
Alex Reynolds 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 5.5% 8.2% 10.4% 12.9% 15.4% 13.4% 13.5% 5.2% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.