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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+5.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.11vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+7.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+3.70vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.10vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.06vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.14+1.84vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-0.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.99vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.82-4.60vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.01vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.90-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.12-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98University of Miami2.329.0%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University1.623.8%1st Place
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7.7Jacksonville University2.107.9%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.9%1st Place
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7.22Webb Institute1.739.4%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.7%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.714.8%1st Place
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8.84North Carolina State University1.785.2%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.394.4%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University1.826.8%1st Place
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9.42SUNY Maritime College1.885.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.8%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida0.902.4%1st Place
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11.56University of Michigan1.123.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont0.722.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlee Kohl | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Patrick Dolan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
Owen Bannasch | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Will Murray | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Rayne Duff | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Jonathan Seawards | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
Will Priebe | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
Adam Larson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% |
Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
Noah Robitshek | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
Tyler Wood | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Spencer Barnes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Lars Osell | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
Andreas Keswater | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
Joe Serpa | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
Ryan Potter | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.