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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+0.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.34vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-1.55vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-4.28vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.99+0.14vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.50-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01-0.21vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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2.69Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.83Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.07Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.45University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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7.96Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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3.72Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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9.14Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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9.93Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 30.0% | 25.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Walker Banks | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.1% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 18.8% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 23.4% | 11.0% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 28.3% | 28.1% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 21.3% | 53.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.