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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.60+2.71vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.26+2.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.73+0.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26-1.36vs Predicted
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6Williams College0.22+2.13vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.23-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.21+0.29vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92-2.00vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.25-3.60vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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4.41Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.55Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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2.64Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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8.13Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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6.37Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.29University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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7.0Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.5Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Beery | 17.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| David Pierce | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 18.7% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 29.2% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 37.3% |
| Anna Hopper | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 6.4% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 35.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 12.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| John Joseph | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.