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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+1.43vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+1.79vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.05vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.43+0.08vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.50+2.88vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-4.29vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.01+1.74vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.99-0.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-3.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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2.69Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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5.79Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.08Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.88Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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3.71Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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10.74University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.09Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 29.8% | 26.7% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
| Walker Banks | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| DAVID Greene | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 28.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 22.3% | 50.2% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 13.4% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.