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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.33+2.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-1.31vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-1.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48-3.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-1.16vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.04vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.99-0.91vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.50-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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4.07College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.69Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.5University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.72Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.96Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.09Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| William Sands | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 31.5% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 17.8% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Marten Kendrick | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bristol | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 13.0% |
| DAVID Greene | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 28.3% | 29.5% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 24.2% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.