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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.84vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+5.60vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+6.80vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+3.16vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.81+5.85vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+2.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+2.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.46vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.73-2.72vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.97vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-3.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-2.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-3.09vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-4.54vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-4.31vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5712.7%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University2.107.2%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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7.16University of Miami2.329.4%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University1.812.8%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University1.826.3%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.714.8%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.2%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Maritime College1.885.3%1st Place
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7.28Webb Institute1.739.3%1st Place
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.1%1st Place
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8.76North Carolina State University1.785.5%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
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11.91University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
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11.46University of Michigan1.123.2%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont0.722.9%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida0.902.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.