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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+5.92vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+5.41vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+5.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.00vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.72+6.53vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+3.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+1.82vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-1.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.42vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-1.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.91vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-6.52vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-4.64vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-7.47vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92University of Miami2.3210.2%1st Place
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7.41Webb Institute1.739.0%1st Place
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8.69North Carolina State University1.786.1%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.2%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.826.6%1st Place
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12.53University of Vermont0.723.1%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.394.8%1st Place
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7.79Jacksonville University2.106.9%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University1.624.6%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.714.3%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.2%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida0.903.1%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.9%1st Place
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11.36University of Michigan1.123.0%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Maritime College1.885.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Will Murray | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 20.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.