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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+0.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-1.34vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+1.10vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-0.17vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.15-3.60vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.99+0.11vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.50-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01-0.21vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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3.77Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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2.66Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.83Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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9.11Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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9.97Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 18.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 29.1% | 28.4% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 22.7% | 11.0% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 29.9% | 27.7% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 54.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.