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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+3.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15+0.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48-1.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-0.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43-1.02vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-1.12vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.99+0.12vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.50-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01-0.22vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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2.67Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.77Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.83Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.98Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.12Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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9.98Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.08Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 31.8% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 16.5% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Walker Banks | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 10.9% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 29.0% | 28.1% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 20.7% | 53.8% |
| Marten Kendrick | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 12.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.