← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Sands 14.1% 13.3% 15.5% 14.8% 15.0% 11.0% 8.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Dylan Finneran 4.2% 6.2% 7.7% 8.6% 10.7% 10.4% 13.5% 15.7% 11.3% 8.4% 3.1% 0.2%
Morgan Kiss 31.8% 22.4% 17.9% 13.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohney 11.6% 12.8% 13.9% 15.2% 13.7% 12.7% 8.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Briana Provancha 16.5% 19.5% 15.2% 13.8% 12.3% 9.6% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.8% 6.6% 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 13.2% 13.0% 13.9% 9.5% 4.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Walker Banks 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.7% 11.0% 12.2% 13.8% 13.8% 9.7% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Alex Reynolds 4.8% 4.3% 6.2% 7.9% 7.4% 9.6% 11.7% 12.0% 17.4% 11.4% 5.9% 1.4%
Rachel Bristol 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 2.2% 3.0% 4.7% 7.4% 9.5% 13.1% 22.3% 23.0% 10.9%
DAVID Greene 0.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 9.3% 15.2% 29.0% 28.1%
Kevin Condit 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 10.4% 20.7% 53.8%
Marten Kendrick 1.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1% 4.6% 8.0% 9.1% 12.3% 17.3% 19.1% 12.9% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.