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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+1.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.33+2.09vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.43+3.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+1.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48-1.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.15-2.60vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-1.13vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.50+1.01vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.99-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01-0.21vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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4.09College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.05Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.78Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.79Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.01Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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9.13Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 29.7% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sands | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 17.2% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 29.1% | 26.8% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 23.7% | 12.3% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 54.3% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.