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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+4.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+0.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15+0.48vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.33-0.94vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+0.97vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43-1.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-4.28vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.99+0.11vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.50-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.01-0.20vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.69Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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4.06College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.95Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.72Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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9.11Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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9.97Jacksonville University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.08Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 30.7% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sands | 14.5% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Walker Banks | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 18.1% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bristol | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 11.1% |
| DAVID Greene | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 29.4% | 27.8% |
| Kevin Condit | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 20.2% | 54.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.