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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+8.97vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+5.11vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+4.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+6.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.92vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78+1.63vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73-0.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+2.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-0.09vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.12-1.72vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.14vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.82-6.43vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.72-3.09vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.14-5.37vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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7.11University of Miami2.329.1%1st Place
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7.71Jacksonville University2.106.8%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.8%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida0.903.4%1st Place
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7.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.5%1st Place
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8.63North Carolina State University1.786.6%1st Place
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7.33Webb Institute1.738.6%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.2%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.714.3%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.786.7%1st Place
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11.28University of Michigan1.124.0%1st Place
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9.86SUNY Maritime College1.884.5%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University1.826.2%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont0.722.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Wisconsin1.142.6%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% |
| Will Murray | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larson | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Lars Osell | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 19.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.