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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+6.46vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+6.19vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.07+5.13vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.41+5.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.04vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.08vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-6.79vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.09-4.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.27-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-5.79vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Miami1.938.5%1st Place
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7.65Webb Institute1.437.8%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida1.544.9%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University1.096.4%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.6%1st Place
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11.13Boston University1.073.1%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College0.412.2%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University1.575.1%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.074.4%1st Place
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6.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.1%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.3%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.2%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.989.2%1st Place
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9.88University of Wisconsin1.095.3%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.277.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
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10.81University of Michigan0.503.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 23.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Abe Weston | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.