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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.70+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee0.31+0.61vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.35+0.70vs Predicted
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5Auburn University0.63-1.83vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.57-4.00vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.34-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.45-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Tennessee0.310.1%1st Place
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4.7The Citadel-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.17Auburn University0.630.2%1st Place
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2.0Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.5%1st Place
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4.64Clemson University-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Georgia-0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Simons | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 31.0% |
| Mark Buchanan | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Ben Brightwell | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| Wesley Wallace | 16.8% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 46.1% | 26.6% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Duncan | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 19.5% |
| Matthew Weber | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.