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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+6.37vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+6.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.84vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43+3.63vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57+4.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-0.75vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+2.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.96vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.41+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.09-3.86vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-5.32vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.27-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37University of Miami1.938.1%1st Place
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8.6North Carolina State University1.096.2%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.3%1st Place
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7.63Webb Institute1.437.3%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University1.575.9%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.0%1st Place
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6.25Fordham University1.9811.4%1st Place
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10.95Boston University1.073.6%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.9%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida1.544.5%1st Place
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12.26SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.2%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Wisconsin1.094.1%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.074.2%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University1.275.6%1st Place
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11.2University of Michigan0.502.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 23.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Abe Weston | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.