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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+8.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.40vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+6.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.27+3.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.82vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-1.13vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-1.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09-3.11vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.62vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-5.02vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Old Dominion University1.575.5%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.3%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University1.989.8%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
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8.42George Washington University1.276.5%1st Place
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8.46North Carolina State University1.097.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Miami1.937.8%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.9%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida1.545.1%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University1.075.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.073.4%1st Place
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9.89University of Wisconsin1.094.7%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College0.412.0%1st Place
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7.63Webb Institute1.437.8%1st Place
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10.98University of Michigan0.503.4%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Porter Bell | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.3% |
| Abe Weston | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 24.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.