Race 3B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Williamson 19.4% 18.4% 17.3% 15.0% 11.8% 10.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
David Pierce 10.1% 13.3% 13.8% 16.0% 16.0% 12.2% 9.3% 5.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Jon Beery 15.3% 16.6% 15.4% 14.9% 15.0% 13.1% 6.5% 2.9% 0.2% 0.1%
John Joseph 9.9% 10.6% 15.1% 16.0% 16.2% 12.1% 11.1% 5.5% 3.2% 0.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 31.5% 26.5% 16.7% 11.9% 6.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Anna Hopper 4.7% 4.6% 5.8% 8.2% 7.9% 13.4% 17.4% 16.6% 14.2% 7.2%
Terry Clarke 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 5.3% 9.6% 15.4% 23.7% 35.7%
Joshua Revkin 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 4.6% 6.0% 9.1% 12.6% 23.1% 36.2%
Nick Belsito 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 4.7% 9.0% 11.1% 13.2% 19.9% 18.9% 12.6%
Jared Dunn 3.7% 4.6% 6.9% 7.1% 9.5% 12.5% 16.9% 18.5% 13.2% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.