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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.41+10.28vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+4.33vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+4.52vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.11vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.57+3.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54+0.14vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.27-1.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-2.01vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-2.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.31vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.09-5.21vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.43-8.37vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.3%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College0.412.3%1st Place
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7.33University of Miami1.937.4%1st Place
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8.52North Carolina State University1.096.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University1.575.9%1st Place
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6.41Fordham University1.9810.2%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.6%1st Place
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9.14University of South Florida1.545.5%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University1.277.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.4%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
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10.9Boston University1.073.0%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.075.7%1st Place
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9.79University of Wisconsin1.095.1%1st Place
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7.63Webb Institute1.438.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Michigan0.503.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Abe Weston | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.