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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+5.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+6.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+3.87vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.43+1.59vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+1.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.50+1.93vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07+1.04vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-2.56vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-3.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.12vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-8.96vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami1.938.5%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.2%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida1.545.1%1st Place
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7.59Webb Institute1.438.6%1st Place
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8.56North Carolina State University1.095.8%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University1.575.7%1st Place
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10.93University of Michigan0.503.7%1st Place
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11.04Boston University1.073.6%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University1.275.9%1st Place
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12.25SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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10.01University of Wisconsin1.094.2%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont1.054.3%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.7%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Porter Bell | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 24.7% |
| Abe Weston | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.