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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+6.41vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+6.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.07+8.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+5.02vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+3.81vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+2.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.41+4.28vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93-1.51vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.43-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.09-1.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-2.65vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-7.75vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.50-4.10vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-9.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.6%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University1.276.5%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.072.6%1st Place
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9.02Old Dominion University1.574.9%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida1.545.6%1st Place
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8.62North Carolina State University1.096.6%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.5%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College0.412.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Miami1.938.2%1st Place
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7.64Webb Institute1.438.2%1st Place
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9.96University of Wisconsin1.094.5%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont1.053.0%1st Place
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6.25Fordham University1.9812.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Michigan0.503.3%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.2%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 24.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Abe Weston | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.