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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+7.94vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+6.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+4.57vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.69vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+2.58vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+2.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.41+4.24vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+1.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.87vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.50-1.10vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-5.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-6.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of South Florida1.545.6%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University1.277.2%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.9%1st Place
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8.57North Carolina State University1.096.5%1st Place
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5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1312.7%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University1.945.8%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University1.574.7%1st Place
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12.24SUNY Maritime College0.412.5%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.0%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University1.074.9%1st Place
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10.9University of Michigan0.503.6%1st Place
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7.73Webb Institute1.437.3%1st Place
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10.81Boston University1.073.9%1st Place
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7.31University of Miami1.938.5%1st Place
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9.96University of Wisconsin1.094.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 23.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Abe Weston | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.