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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.73+1.18vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.18+3.27vs Predicted
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3Auburn University0.45+1.13vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.49+0.12vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.35+0.54vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee0.80-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston1.730.4%1st Place
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5.27The Citadel-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.13Auburn University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.12Clemson University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Tennessee0.800.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Georgia-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Kubie | 41.0% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 13.5% |
| Robert Dye | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Osler | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Brion Capo | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 27.4% | 14.8% |
| Elliot Newnham | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Ervin Grove | 15.2% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Cave | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 16.1% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.