← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+6.31vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.94+6.65vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.27+5.18vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.54+5.18vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.59+2.46vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.41+6.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.05+2.99vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.07+1.42vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.09+1.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami1.93-2.61vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-5.17vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.27vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.18vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.43-6.29vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.09-6.20vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan0.50-4.81vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.07-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.6%1st Place
-
8.65Fordham University1.944.9%1st Place
-
8.18George Washington University1.276.4%1st Place
-
9.18University of South Florida1.545.6%1st Place
-
7.46Old Dominion University1.597.5%1st Place
-
12.28SUNY Maritime College0.412.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
-
9.42Northeastern University1.075.5%1st Place
-
10.0University of Wisconsin1.094.5%1st Place
-
7.39University of Miami1.938.6%1st Place
-
5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1311.7%1st Place
-
8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.0%1st Place
-
9.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.3%1st Place
-
7.71Webb Institute1.437.0%1st Place
-
8.8North Carolina State University1.096.5%1st Place
-
11.19University of Michigan0.503.4%1st Place
-
11.06Boston University1.073.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 24.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Abe Weston | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.