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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+6.42vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+6.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.35vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+2.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.69vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.43+0.67vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94+0.58vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-0.25vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.99vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.41+1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-1.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-1.73vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-4.98vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.276.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.3%1st Place
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5.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1311.7%1st Place
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7.28University of Miami1.938.3%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.0%1st Place
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7.67Webb Institute1.436.9%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University1.946.0%1st Place
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8.75North Carolina State University1.095.1%1st Place
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9.01University of South Florida1.545.3%1st Place
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12.31SUNY Maritime College0.412.5%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont1.053.7%1st Place
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11.27Boston University1.073.1%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University1.075.3%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.2%1st Place
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11.02University of Michigan0.503.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Wisconsin1.094.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 25.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% |
| Abe Weston | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.