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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+9.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+7.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.07+7.88vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70+3.23vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+3.73vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19+1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93-1.73vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.23vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-4.79vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.83vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-6.97vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-4.31vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.42-7.93vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.8%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.6%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.074.3%1st Place
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11.88Boston University1.072.8%1st Place
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8.23Jacksonville University1.706.2%1st Place
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9.73University of Wisconsin1.204.9%1st Place
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9.07North Carolina State University1.095.8%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida1.194.9%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
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8.27University of Miami1.935.8%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University1.276.2%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.3%1st Place
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8.21Webb Institute1.437.7%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.6%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University1.596.5%1st Place
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11.69University of Michigan0.503.0%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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13.17SUNY Maritime College0.412.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.