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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Tennessee0.80+2.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.73+0.24vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.46+1.16vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.18+1.26vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.49-0.90vs Predicted
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6Auburn University0.45-1.88vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.35-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Tennessee0.800.2%1st Place
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2.24College of Charleston1.730.4%1st Place
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4.16Georgia Institute of Technology0.460.1%1st Place
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5.26The Citadel-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.1Clemson University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.12Auburn University0.450.1%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Georgia-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ervin Grove | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Amy Kubie | 38.8% | 27.2% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Newnham | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Donald Parker | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 11.1% |
| Sean Osler | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Robert Dye | 11.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Brion Capo | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 23.7% | 17.3% |
| Caroline Cave | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 18.5% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.