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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+7.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+6.95vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43+4.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+3.09vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.80vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+4.98vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.70+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+1.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.24vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.50-0.37vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-3.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.41vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.20-5.45vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.27-7.07vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-7.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1University of Miami1.937.7%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.3%1st Place
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9.95University of South Florida1.194.4%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute1.437.2%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University1.596.9%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University1.425.9%1st Place
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11.98Boston University1.072.9%1st Place
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8.37Jacksonville University1.707.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.5%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Michigan0.503.5%1st Place
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9.41North Carolina State University1.095.8%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Wisconsin1.204.6%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University1.276.0%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.5%1st Place
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13.22SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.