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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+7.17vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+8.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+6.02vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.83vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20+3.97vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.29+6.69vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+3.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.50+0.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-2.13vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-4.49vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-6.79vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-7.63vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.70-8.50vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.27-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17University of Miami1.937.0%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University1.074.2%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.6%1st Place
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6.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.6%1st Place
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9.97University of Wisconsin1.204.4%1st Place
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13.69SUNY Maritime College0.291.7%1st Place
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11.76Boston University1.072.9%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.7%1st Place
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9.6University of South Florida1.545.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Michigan0.503.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont1.052.9%1st Place
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9.51North Carolina State University1.095.0%1st Place
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8.21Webb Institute1.438.2%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University1.597.3%1st Place
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8.5Jacksonville University1.706.2%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University1.275.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 28.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.