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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+7.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+3.51vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+4.88vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70+2.45vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+2.49vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+0.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.07+2.74vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.20-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-0.27vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.27-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.50-1.21vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-4.70vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-4.33vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.43-7.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.30vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.29-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0University of Miami1.937.2%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.8%1st Place
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6.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.3%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.2%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida1.544.5%1st Place
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8.45Jacksonville University1.706.6%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University1.094.5%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University1.597.4%1st Place
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11.74Boston University1.073.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Wisconsin1.205.2%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University1.275.5%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan0.503.1%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.073.6%1st Place
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8.39Webb Institute1.436.5%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.8%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Maritime College0.292.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.