Race 4B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Williamson 19.6% 18.7% 17.6% 14.0% 13.5% 7.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
David Pierce 10.7% 13.4% 13.2% 14.1% 15.8% 14.2% 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 28.8% 24.4% 20.4% 13.0% 7.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Hopper 3.1% 5.0% 4.7% 7.5% 10.2% 13.8% 16.8% 17.9% 13.6% 7.4%
John Joseph 11.1% 12.2% 12.3% 15.1% 14.2% 16.2% 10.3% 4.9% 3.1% 0.6%
Jon Beery 17.1% 16.3% 17.4% 16.1% 13.2% 9.3% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Terry Clarke 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.9% 6.1% 9.3% 14.0% 24.2% 35.8%
Joshua Revkin 1.1% 1.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 5.8% 8.5% 13.9% 22.8% 35.9%
Jared Dunn 4.4% 4.1% 5.2% 7.9% 10.2% 13.7% 15.9% 18.8% 13.5% 6.3%
Nick Belsito 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 10.4% 15.1% 18.5% 19.0% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.