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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.23vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.92+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+1.42vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+3.35vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+2.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.02+5.23vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.07+3.98vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38-1.54vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.06vs Predicted
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11William and Mary2.13-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68-5.22vs Predicted
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13American University0.83-0.28vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.68-0.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.26-0.48vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.21-1.35vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.40-5.82vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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4.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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5.84Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.49Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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11.98Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.46George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.94SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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8.5William and Mary2.130.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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12.72American University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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14.52U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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14.65Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.18Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 16.4% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Noel Ingalls | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Ian Connors | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hays | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| David Geer | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 23.2% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 25.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.