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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+1.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.56+4.45vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+1.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+1.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.83-3.32vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74-0.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+0.35vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.83-0.63vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.21+0.13vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.39-1.40vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-2.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.74-0.58vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.66-1.90vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-1.48vs Predicted
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17American University-4.61-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.09Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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6.97George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.21Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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11.13Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.53Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.1William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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16.92American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 18.0% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 23.7% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 29.1% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| James Peaco | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 23.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 46.3% | 2.2% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 96.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.