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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+1.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+3.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+1.08vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.60+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.24vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74-1.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.74+4.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.62vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.39-0.35vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.43-1.53vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.21-1.88vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.66-0.79vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.83-5.57vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-1.48vs Predicted
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17American University-4.61-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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2.52U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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6.26Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.08Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.98Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.44SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.65Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.47Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.12Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.21William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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16.92American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 24.2% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 32.2% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peaco | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 1.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 46.3% | 2.2% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 96.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.