← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.59+8.71vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.17+6.99vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.44+5.51vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.97+4.35vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.20+4.22vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.17+2.10vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.37vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.27+0.82vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.71-1.65vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University0.93-0.68vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.88vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.60-0.73vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.50-2.00vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-5.40vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.11-5.93vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.42vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.80-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.71Northeastern University1.594.9%1st Place
-
8.99Fordham University1.175.9%1st Place
-
8.51George Washington University1.446.3%1st Place
-
8.35Boston University0.976.4%1st Place
-
9.22Connecticut College1.205.6%1st Place
-
8.1Eckerd College1.177.2%1st Place
-
7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.5%1st Place
-
8.82Northwestern University1.276.4%1st Place
-
7.35University of Southern California1.719.4%1st Place
-
9.32Cornell University0.935.5%1st Place
-
8.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.5%1st Place
-
11.27Christopher Newport University0.602.6%1st Place
-
11.0SUNY Maritime College0.503.8%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.9%1st Place
-
9.07Tufts University1.115.2%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.5%1st Place
-
9.63University of Vermont0.804.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| James Kopack | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.