Race 5B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Williamson 20.8% 18.9% 16.1% 14.0% 12.5% 8.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
David Pierce 11.3% 11.5% 14.6% 14.6% 15.6% 13.8% 9.3% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 29.3% 26.4% 17.9% 11.3% 9.0% 4.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 3.1% 4.7% 5.7% 8.5% 9.5% 13.5% 16.5% 18.1% 13.2% 7.2%
Jon Beery 14.8% 17.6% 17.3% 16.6% 13.3% 11.2% 5.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.2%
John Joseph 12.6% 10.5% 13.0% 15.6% 14.7% 13.7% 10.5% 6.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Anna Hopper 2.9% 4.0% 5.7% 8.0% 10.4% 12.3% 17.9% 17.5% 13.7% 7.6%
Terry Clarke 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 6.1% 8.2% 14.0% 24.6% 34.4%
Nick Belsito 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 6.8% 11.0% 15.4% 19.5% 19.7% 12.1%
Joshua Revkin 1.3% 1.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 9.4% 12.1% 23.1% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.