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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+2.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.89vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+4.00vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.60+6.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.51+0.59vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.74+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.74+4.08vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43+0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.65vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.66+0.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-5.08vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.08-0.34vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.39-4.65vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-1.75vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.64Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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4.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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14.08U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.21Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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13.68William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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14.66Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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11.35Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.82American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 21.0% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 26.1% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 12.0% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peaco | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 0.7% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 0.9% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 1.7% |
| Maggie Gore | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 38.4% | 3.3% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.