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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.88vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+2.68vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.37vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.74+2.52vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-3.59vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.56-0.05vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-0.75vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.39+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.74+0.93vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.66-0.34vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.43-3.88vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.08-1.26vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-1.76vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.52George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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10.72Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.66William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.12Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.74Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.82American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 26.5% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 21.3% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Peaco | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 0.9% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 11.7% | 0.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 27.0% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 37.8% | 3.2% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 3.7% | 93.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.