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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.83+5.15vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+2.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-0.02vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.83+3.96vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.60+3.53vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74-0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41+4.21vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.43-0.76vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.39-1.95vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.66-0.42vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.08-0.42vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.56-8.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.74-2.98vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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7.15University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.4Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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10.53Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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15.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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11.24Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.05Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.58William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.58Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.81SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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14.02U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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17.82American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 32.1% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.9% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.1% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 39.8% | 3.9% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 11.2% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 1.5% |
| Rudy Normann | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peaco | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 1.0% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 92.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.