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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.62vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+3.37vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.56+5.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.74+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.83+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.95vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.39+3.31vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+1.76vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-3.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.65vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-1.85vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.21-2.31vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.66-0.92vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-0.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.74-2.68vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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5.37Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.08SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.76Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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11.15Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.69Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.08William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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14.32U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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17.84American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 30.8% | 26.7% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.3% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 19.7% | 47.4% | 3.6% |
| James Peaco | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 23.0% | 1.1% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 94.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.