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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.83+2.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.74+1.43vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.89vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43+3.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.74+5.22vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-3.24vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.21+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.83-1.60vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.39-1.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-5.17vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.60-4.23vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.66-1.95vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41-1.51vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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4.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.89SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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11.2Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.22U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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6.76Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.96Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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11.21Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.77Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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14.05William and Mary-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.85American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 31.9% | 25.0% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 11.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 19.1% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| James Peaco | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 25.8% | 19.5% | 0.9% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bihl | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 48.0% | 3.7% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.