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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.74+6.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+3.81vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.83+3.10vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.56+2.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.89vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.51-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.83+1.12vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.39+1.61vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43+0.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-2.71vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.41+1.27vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.76-5.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.74-2.69vs Predicted
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18American University-4.61-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy3.830.3%1st Place
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6.81Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Virginia1.830.1%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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11.61Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.41Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.71Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.410.0%1st Place
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14.88Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.44William and Mary0.760.0%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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17.84American University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 31.0% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.2% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ray | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 21.7% | 39.0% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Ackermamn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 30.4% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Hinkley | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peaco | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 1.3% |
| Jarrod Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 93.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.