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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.11+7.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+6.38vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+5.75vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.20+5.27vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27+3.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+3.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.93+1.19vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.80-0.17vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.44-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.71-4.72vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-4.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-4.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.50-4.05vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.60-4.83vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Tufts University1.115.0%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College1.175.8%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University1.176.2%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College1.205.9%1st Place
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8.78Northwestern University1.276.6%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University0.936.2%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.8%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont0.805.0%1st Place
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8.61George Washington University1.446.9%1st Place
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7.28University of Southern California1.718.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University0.976.3%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.594.9%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College0.503.2%1st Place
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11.17Christopher Newport University0.603.6%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Benesch | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.6% |
| James Kopack | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.