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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.23+5.38vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.52vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.26+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.60-0.29vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26-2.38vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25+0.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.73-3.48vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.22+0.17vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.21-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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4.52Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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4.47Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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2.62Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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6.37Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.52Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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8.17Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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7.0Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.23University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Hopper | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| John Joseph | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| David Pierce | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jon Beery | 15.9% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 32.1% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 16.4% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 34.5% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 12.4% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 24.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.