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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.41+0.63vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.95-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.64+1.64vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.01-0.15vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.35-0.78vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.70-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Notre Dame1.4153.4%1st Place
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1.97Miami University0.9533.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Toledo-1.642.1%1st Place
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3.85Miami University-1.014.6%1st Place
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4.22Ohio University-1.354.7%1st Place
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4.69Ohio State University-1.702.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Schmitt | 53.4% | 33.1% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reed Porter | 33.0% | 43.4% | 18.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 2.1% | 5.1% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 25.8% | 33.7% |
| Phillip Carter | 4.6% | 8.7% | 26.4% | 28.5% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Champagne | 4.7% | 6.3% | 18.0% | 25.8% | 24.4% | 20.8% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 2.3% | 3.5% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 27.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.