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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.60+2.70vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.26+2.38vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.20+1.56vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26-1.37vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.73-1.53vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University1.25-0.65vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.23-1.54vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92-1.99vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.21-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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4.38Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.56Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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2.63Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.47Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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6.35Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.46Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.01Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.23Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.21University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Beery | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Pierce | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| John Joseph | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 29.7% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 17.5% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Anna Hopper | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 6.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 12.8% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 25.1% | 35.1% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.