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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.11+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+6.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+6.64vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+4.84vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+8.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+2.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.04vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.17+0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.49vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.44-1.63vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-3.04vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.93-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.71-5.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-5.10vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Tufts University1.115.8%1st Place
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8.34Boston University0.976.9%1st Place
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9.64Northeastern University1.594.9%1st Place
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8.84Northwestern University1.276.2%1st Place
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13.09Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
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8.09Eckerd College1.177.3%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.1%1st Place
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8.69Fordham University1.175.3%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.1%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University1.446.7%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.276.8%1st Place
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9.0Cornell University0.935.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California1.719.8%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College1.205.8%1st Place
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12.31SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.2%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont1.055.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Benesch | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 30.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| James Kopack | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 23.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.